Nobel Peace Prize Organizers Probing Potential Polymarket Insider Trades
The post Nobel Peace Prize Organizers Probing Potential Polymarket Insider Trades appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
In brief Organizers of the Nobel Peace Prize are investigating whether insiders used advanced information about this year’s winner to make a profit on Polymarket. Roughly 11 hours before the award was announced, Machado’s chances jumped from near-zero to over 70%, with one trader collecting $80,000 from last-minute wagers. While insider trading may be prohibited inside the Nobel Institute, it is generally permitted on sites like Polymarket to increase prediction accuracy. The organizers of the Nobel Peace Prize are investigating whether insiders used privileged information about this year’s winner to profit on crypto prediction market Polymarket, according to local reports. Roughly 11 hours before the closely watched award was given to Venezuelan resistance leader Maria Corina Machado this morning, the odds of her victory surged from near-zero to over 70% on Polymarket. The market on this year’s Nobel Peace Prize winner has accumulated over $21.4 million in trading volume since opening in July. For nearly all of that time, the odds of Machado receiving the coveted prize have hovered around a 1% or 2% likelihood. Then, Thursday night, shortly before 1:00 am Norway time, the Venezualan’s odds of winning surged to over 43%. By 2:00 am, they hit 73%. BREAKING: María Corina Machado wins 2025 Nobel Peace Prize. Once again, Polymarket had the news more than 12 hours before it was announced. https://t.co/AFxmvq6mVF — Polymarket (@Polymarket) October 10, 2025 The identity of the recipient of the Nobel Peace Prize—one of the most coveted awards in the world—is typically kept tightly under wraps. Even Machado herself did not find out she had won the award until minutes before the news was announced publicly in Oslo at 11:00 am this morning. The five-member committee tasked with selecting the award’s winner did not even come to a decision until this week, according to…
