Bitcoin Back Above $100K? Scaramucci Says the 2028 Halving Holds the Key
SkyBridge Capital founder and managing partner Anthony Scaramucci told CNBC’s Squawk Box on Tuesday that Bitcoin (BTC) will climb back over $100,000 as the halving cycle tightens prices, a level the asset has not closed above since November 13, 2025.
“I think as the halving cycle comes in again, it will tighten prices and you’ll see a move back up over $100k,” says @Scaramucci of $BTC. https://t.co/x8GF2oK0uh pic.twitter.com/lVSyypTzEN
— Squawk Box (@SquawkCNBC) August 18, 2026
Bitcoin briefly hit $65,000 on Tuesday, according to CoinGecko. The next halving falls at block 1,050,000, which countdown trackers place around April 2028, and the network stood at block 963,063 on Tuesday.
Halvings arrive every 210,000 blocks, and the block subsidy will drop to 1.5625 BTC from 3.125 BTC.
Prior Call Targeted $170,000
Coin Metrics puts Bitcoin at $64,908 on April 20, 2024, the day of the last halving. The cycle that followed peaked at over $126,000 on October 6, 2025. The asset last closed at or above six figures on November 13, 2025, at $100,035, then fell to $86,505 by December 1, $76,911 on February 1, and $65,734 on March 1. Its 2026 low was at under $58,000 on July 1.
Scaramucci made a similar argument before the last halving in early 2024, expecting Bitcoin to reach $170,000 after the April halving, based on a pattern he described as multiplying the halving-day price by four roughly 18 months later. BTC traded near $43,000 when he made that call.
The four-year pattern is itself disputed now, as even analysts, including Scott Melker and Arthur Hayes, are questioning whether the cycle still holds, with Melker noting Bitcoin ran 1,080 days from its last major low against a historical peak window of 1,060 to 1,070 days, and PlanB placing a possible top anywhere between 2026 and 2028.
Clarity Act Vote Set for September
Some of the catalysts for the price surge, at least in the short term, could be the impact of the Clarity Act and the state of crypto among the topics covered across the eight-minute interview.
The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, filed as H.R. 3633, is scheduled for a Senate cloture vote on September 15 at 2:15 PM ET.
CryptoPotato reported that Senate Majority Leader John Thune filed cloture shortly before the August recess after Democrats declined to back a procedural vote, and that the bill’s odds of becoming law this year have fallen, according to experts and prediction platforms.
The motion needs 60 votes, and senators will not be voting on the legislation itself that day.
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