Gold Rally Sets Bitcoin’s 80-Day Timing Cue
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Gold’s rally has often led BTC by ~80 days in prior cycles, Colin says. The BTC–Global M2 correlation weakened over the last three months. BTC remains highly sensitive to liquidity, so policy cues matter for timing. Bitcoin’s next leg may take its cue from gold’s run, according to analyst Colin Talks Crypto, who tracked the historical pattern where gold leads Bitcoin by about 80 days. His latest overlay compares BTC, gold, and Global M2 and shows gold sprinting while Bitcoin lags. The read is simple in that if the lead-lag holds, the handoff window for BTC sits in late December to January, but the timing depends on when gold’s momentum cools and how global liquidity signals line up. Gold vs BTC Gold tends to lead Bitcoin. In the following chart gold has been shifted forward by 80 days. If (and I mean if) BTC decides to follow gold's move, this would be a pretty sweet November and December, with a top potentially in late December or January (whenever gold… pic.twitter.com/IkwpIKKZG8 — Colin Talks Crypto 🪙 (@ColinTCrypto) October 21, 2025 Why the gold lead matters now Gold jumped to fresh records into October and pulled sentiment with it. In Colin’s cycle work, an advancing gold line often precedes a delayed BTC push, which traders treat as a timing tell rather than a price target. Related: Gold’s 2025 Rally (12 ATHs) Draws Comparisons to Bitcoin Price Action Bitcoin and Global Liquidity The comparison chart places Global M2 as a central indicator of liquidity’s role in Bitcoin’s price behavior. Historically, when M2 expands, liquidity flows into risk assets, often lifting Bitcoin’s value. Colin observed that M2’s trends tend to lead Bitcoin’s price action by about 80 days, highlighting Bitcoin’s sensitivity to global monetary expansion. Source: X From January 2024, after the launch of…
